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Can't do this in a vacuum. Need more info on what other teams are doing. What is uf's record when we beat them. What is the coastal rep's rank/record in the ACCCG. All of this is why major cfb has the worst selection process for its champion.
When's the last time the SEC failed to field 2-teams with 2-or-less losses?
It will take 3-losses for us to jump an SEC team, once we have 1 loss.
The BCS was pretty clear about what it thinks of our schedule.
We only have one FCS team on the schedule this year as opposed to 2 last year. Savannah St killed our SOS last year. Nevada will have a winning record and give us about what West Virginia would have last year. Ours SOS will be better this year in the computers.
Why is everyone counting Clemson as a loss. If we can't beat Clemson in the ACC then we can't beat an SEC team in the title game.
Of course we do lol...
Everyone is just assuming that all the ACC teams will be bad again this year, And that may be the case, But the fact of the matter is not a game has been played yet.
What if the ACC goes ham out of conference Georgia Tech beats Georgia Clemson beats South Carolina etc. etc?
What if three ACC teams end up in the top 15 and Florida State beats all of them?
I'm not saying these things will happen I'm just saying we shouldn't automatically count our schedule as super easy When no Games have been played yet
Pain is temporary. It may last a minute, or it may last a year. But eventually, it will subside. If i quit, however it will last forever.
Depends on how other teams do but less then 5% chance IMO
Any 1 loss SEC or Bi12 team or undefeated plays ahead of us
Most 1 loss PAC and Bug10 do as well
This. Last year's schedule was an abboration... with only 1 AA team on the docket we'll be fine in the SOS department.
People forget that if you simply replaced SS with ANY 1-A team last year our computer rankings would have jumped to the point that we moved into the top 5 for almost the entire year in the BCS.
Bottom line, 1 loss plus wins over uf and in the ACCCG and we're in the discussion.
Hell, let's just win em all and make this point moot.
I say yes, making it 11-1 would completely depend on how all the top teams resumes stack up.
It is possible that FSU loses one but i can see FSU having an undefeated season, we have no clearly superior teams on how schedule and could run the table which is never easy but like the chances rather than losing 3 or more games
Agreed. Too much to overcome, not the least of which is anti-ACC sentiment.
No chance with the computers still part of the deal. ACC plays a TOUGH OOC this year and will get waxed as usual. ACC computer rankings for the conf will be even worse this year than last
Honestly the SEC is a self-fulling prophecy at this point....
They get ranked high at the beginning of the season, which in turn creates an inflated (or accurate) strength of schedule... which pretty much ensures a 2-loss SEC team is guaranteed to get in over a 1-loss ACC team.
This has been consistent the past 4-5 years... So when you ask yourself the odds of us making it in over them, the real quesiton becomes:
A) Will the pollsters put more SEC team in the top 25 at the beginning of the season?
If the answer is YES, then you ask yourself:
B) It is plausible for the SEC to FAIL to field 2-teams with 2-or-less losses? Because we're not getting in over a team with 1-to-2 losses, with them having such a huge advantage in SOS....
Astronomical odds on that happening, like I said, I don't remember the last time it happened.. it may have been in the 90's or even earlier.
It would be plausible if the Florida game was the FIRST game of the year, and went undefeated after beating us... but due to where they sit on the schedule, it's very difficult to recover from a loss there. If we lose to anyone other than Florida, the computer rankings will destroy us, because of the self-fulfling prophecy mentioned above (we lost to a team with a horrible SOS).
This post was edited by FsuFanForever 17 months ago
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